Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030219 0.032970 0.035687 0.038567 0.041527 0.044476 0.047633
2024-12-22 0.024060 0.028461 0.032925 0.037766 0.042844 0.047994 0.053594
2024-12-29 0.020174 0.025668 0.031370 0.037667 0.044374 0.051261 0.058829
2025-01-05 0.016985 0.023234 0.029864 0.037307 0.045336 0.053663 0.062889
2025-01-12 0.014236 0.021018 0.028376 0.036763 0.045914 0.055490 0.066171
2025-01-19 0.011333 0.018391 0.026251 0.035364 0.045428 0.056051 0.067983
2025-01-26 0.010228 0.017740 0.026255 0.036232 0.047333 0.059111 0.072392
2025-02-02 0.008796 0.016582 0.025598 0.036293 0.048288 0.061086 0.075577
2025-02-09 0.007022 0.014862 0.024198 0.035440 0.048169 0.061838 0.077389
2025-02-16 0.006028 0.014043 0.023803 0.035685 0.049230 0.063839 0.080513
2025-02-23 0.004976 0.013055 0.023149 0.035587 0.049870 0.065345 0.083067
2025-03-02 0.003949 0.011995 0.022353 0.035285 0.050243 0.066527 0.085237
2025-03-09 0.003091 0.011191 0.021970 0.035607 0.051496 0.068874 0.088901
2025-03-16 0.001897 0.009694 0.020678 0.034860 0.051563 0.069949 0.091233
2025-03-23 0.001136 0.008700 0.019968 0.034769 0.052354 0.071808 0.094404
2025-03-30 0.000494 0.007634 0.019085 0.034420 0.052807 0.073257 0.097093
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.006554 0.018097 0.033892 0.053015 0.074397 0.099408
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005134 0.016499 0.032534 0.052202 0.074350 0.100371
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004919 0.016653 0.033377 0.053973 0.077214 0.104556
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004347 0.016215 0.033436 0.054791 0.078977 0.107495
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003423 0.015124 0.032608 0.054523 0.079476 0.108998
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003030 0.014863 0.032846 0.055516 0.081405 0.112088
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002536 0.014369 0.032751 0.056092 0.082840 0.114607